11 · With all 14 houses
The business in 2032: 14 houses at 81% occupancy.
฿38.5MRevenue
฿3.9MManagement (10%)
฿26.3MEBITDA (68% margin)
฿17MNet profit after 20% tax
฿14.5MDividends (23.3% on equity)
Revenue each year
฿1M2026
฿37.4M2031
฿43.3M2036
฿50.3M2041
฿58.3M2046
฿67.5M2051
฿78.3M2056
2026฿1M
2027฿9.5M
2028฿17.9M
2029฿30.9M
2030฿35.7M
2031฿37.4M
2032฿38.5M
2034฿40.9M
2036฿43.3M
2039฿47.4M
2041฿50.3M
2046฿58.3M
2051฿67.5M
2056฿78.3M
How revenue is calculated
For each house and each season: nights booked × nightly rate. Expected rates: high season ฿9,000–฿12,000, mid ฿6,000–฿9,000, low ฿5,000–฿6,000. The base case uses the midpoints, ฿10,500 / ฿7,500 / ฿5,500, growing 3% a year from 2028. Occupancy starts at ≈69% in 2027 and reaches 79% in 2030. Houses that open mid-year count only the months they are open.
| Year | House-years | High: weeks × rate | Mid | Low | Per house | Occupancy | Revenue |
|---|
| 2027 | 4.67 | 14 × ฿73,500 | 12 × ฿52,500 | 10 × ฿38,500 | ฿2.04M | 69% | ฿9.54M |
|---|
| 2028 | 8 | 15 × ฿75,705 | 13 × ฿54,075 | 10 × ฿39,655 | ฿2.24M | 73% | ฿17.88M |
|---|
| 2029 | 12.67 | 16 × ฿77,976 | 14 × ฿55,697 | 10 × ฿40,845 | ฿2.44M | 77% | ฿30.85M |
|---|
| 2030 | 14 | 16 × ฿80,315 | 14 × ฿57,368 | 11 × ฿42,070 | ฿2.55M | 79% | ฿35.71M |
|---|
| 2031 | 14 | 16 × ฿82,725 | 14 × ฿59,089 | 12 × ฿43,332 | ฿2.67M | 81% | ฿37.39M |
|---|
| 2032 | 14 | 16 × ฿85,207 | 14 × ฿60,862 | 12 × ฿44,632 | ฿2.75M | 81% | ฿38.51M |
|---|
Example 2027: 4.67 house-years × (14 weeks × ฿73,500 + 12 × ฿52,500 + 10 × ฿38,500) = 4.67 × ฿2,044,000 = ฿9.54M.
Of all revenue, 10% goes to the booking platform and 10% to the management company, before any cost. Costs: maintenance, utilities and cleaning per house; fixed admin and marketing; the land rent; and 3% of revenue set aside for refurbishment. Everything grows 3% a year.
What the partners receive, year by year
Ordinary dividend (85% of profit)Special distribution: surplus cash once debt-free
฿0M2026
฿13.8M2031
฿17.2M2036
฿28.2M2041
฿32.6M2046
฿37.7M2051
฿43.7M2056
2026฿0M
2027฿3.2M
2028฿6.3M
2029฿11.2M
2030฿12.9M
2031฿13.8M
2032฿14.5M
2034฿15.8M
2036฿17.2M
2039฿51.6M
2041฿28.2M
2046฿32.6M
2051฿37.7M
2056฿43.7M
- 2027–2029, build years: dividends are still paid, ฿3.2M in 2027, ฿6.3M in 2028 and ฿11.2M in 2029, while partner capital and, from 2028, the loan pay for the 10 new houses.
- 2030, first full year with 14 houses: ฿12.9M, a 20.8% cash yield on all equity invested. ฿14.5M in 2032 and ฿17.2M in 2036.
- 2039, loan repaid: cash above a ฿6M reserve is distributed (฿51.6M that year). From then on almost all cash is paid out: ฿32.6M a year by 2046.
- A payout of 80% or 90% moves the IRR only from 23.3% to 24.0%, but changes how much capital the build needs (฿27.9M vs ฿30.3M). The proposed policy: 85%, plus the surplus cash once debt-free.
Loan balanceCash in the company
2026—฿3.4M
2027—฿1M
2028฿12.5M฿1M
2029฿25M฿1M
2030฿23.3M฿4.9M
2031฿21.4M฿8.8M
2032฿19.4M฿12.7M
2034฿14.9M฿20.3M
2036฿9.6M฿27.6M
2039—฿6M
2041—฿6M
2046—฿6M
2051—฿6M
2056—฿6M
| Year | Houses | Revenue | Mgmt fee | EBITDA | Net profit | Capex | Loan drawn | Equity | Dividends | Yield | Loan balance |
|---|
| 2026 | 2 | ฿1M | ฿0.1M | ฿0.5M | ฿0.2M | — | — | — | ฿0M | 0% | — |
|---|
| 2027 | 6 | ฿9.5M | ฿1M | ฿5.8M | ฿3.8M | ฿13M | — | ฿9M | ฿3.2M | 5.2% | — |
|---|
| 2028 | 10 | ฿17.9M | ฿1.8M | ฿11.7M | ฿7.4M | ฿26M | ฿12.5M | ฿10.9M | ฿6.3M | 10.1% | ฿12.5M |
|---|
| 2029 | 14 | ฿30.9M | ฿3.1M | ฿20.9M | ฿13.2M | ฿26M | ฿12.5M | ฿9.1M | ฿11.2M | 18.1% | ฿25M |
|---|
| 2030 | 14 | ฿35.7M | ฿3.6M | ฿24.3M | ฿15.2M | — | — | — | ฿12.9M | 20.8% | ฿23.3M |
|---|
| 2031 | 14 | ฿37.4M | ฿3.7M | ฿25.5M | ฿16.3M | — | — | — | ฿13.8M | 22.3% | ฿21.4M |
|---|
| 2032 | 14 | ฿38.5M | ฿3.9M | ฿26.3M | ฿17M | — | — | — | ฿14.5M | 23.3% | ฿19.4M |
|---|
| 2034 | 14 | ฿40.9M | ฿4.1M | ฿27.9M | ฿18.6M | — | — | — | ฿15.8M | 25.4% | ฿14.9M |
|---|
| 2036 | 14 | ฿43.3M | ฿4.3M | ฿29.6M | ฿20.2M | — | — | — | ฿17.2M | 27.7% | ฿9.6M |
|---|
| 2039 | 14 | ฿47.4M | ฿4.7M | ฿32.4M | ฿23M | — | — | — | ฿51.6M | 83.1% | — |
|---|
| 2040 | 14 | ฿48.8M | ฿4.9M | ฿33.4M | ฿24M | — | — | — | ฿27.4M | 44.1% | — |
|---|
| 2041 | 14 | ฿50.3M | ฿5M | ฿34.4M | ฿24.9M | — | — | — | ฿28.2M | 45.4% | — |
|---|
| 2046 | 14 | ฿58.3M | ฿5.8M | ฿39.9M | ฿29.3M | — | — | — | ฿32.6M | 52.5% | — |
|---|
| 2051 | 14 | ฿67.5M | ฿6.8M | ฿46.3M | ฿34.4M | — | — | — | ฿37.7M | 60.7% | — |
|---|
| 2056 | 14 | ฿78.3M | ฿7.8M | ฿53.7M | ฿40.3M | — | — | — | ฿43.7M | 70.3% | — |
|---|
On a phone only the main columns are shown; the full detail is in the financial model.
Yield = dividends of the year ÷ all equity invested. All 30 years, every formula and every assumption are in the financial model that comes with this page.